Friday, July 2, 2010

Gold inches higher on mixed macroeconomic news Bullion notches 7th straight quarterly gain, rising 12% in the 2nd quarter

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/gold-slumps-on-optimism-over-europe-credit-2010-06-30

Gold inches higher on mixed macroeconomic news
Bullion notches 7th straight quarterly gain, rising 12% in the 2nd
Gold ends higher on safe-haven buying
Gold inches higher but loses 4% on week

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Gold futures edged higher on Wednesday, enough to deliver another monthly gain and another quarterly rise for bullion, as investors weighed a disappointing jobs report against a hopeful read on manufacturing activity in the Chicago area.

Gold for August delivery added $3.50, or 0.3%, to $1,245.90 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Prices fluctuated earlier, reacting to the macroeconomic reports and the ups and downs for other commodities and the stock market.

Gold ended the second quarter up 12%, its seventh consecutive quarterly gains. It rose 1.7% in the first quarter of 2010, a string of wins going back to the third quarter of 2008, when it lost nearly 5%.

On the month, gold gained 2.5%, following gains of 3% in May and 6% in April. Gold lost 0.4% in March.

Some analysts expect more of the same for the metal going forward.


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"Uncertainty is going to play in the hands of gold," said Richard Ross, a technical analyst at Auerbach Grayson in New York. "Gold should continue to be an over performer in the second half of the year ... benefitting from uncertainty and risk appetite. As investors look for alternative to currencies, the bullish argument for gold is intact."

Gold has had an impressive run in 2010, starting to vie for record-breaking levels in May. It set records on May 12, June 8 and $1,258.30 an ounce on June 18.

"The pullbacks are very shallow are buyers are stepping in, regardless of price," he said.

Gold had its fair share of pullbacks in early trading Wednesday, but concerns faded as the session progressed.

Earlier, the purchasing managers index for the Chicago region fell to 59.1% from 59.7%, but the slight drop was construed as positive as index levels remained high and the slight drop was in line with expectations. Readings over 50% indicate overall business expansion.

Also on Wednesday, payroll processor ADP said private-sector employment increased by 13,000 in June. Economists surveyed by MarketWatch had been expecting the ADP report to show a 65,000 increase. See Economic Report for more on GDP.

The U.S. dollar came under further pressure after the private payrolls data and never fully recovered.

The dollar index /quotes/comstock/11j!i:dxy0 (DXY 84.37, -0.29, -0.34%) , which compares the U.S. unit to a basket of six currencies, declined 0.1% to 85.94, getting a late-session boost after ratings agency Moody's Investors Service warned it could downgrade Spain's debt from Aaa, Moody's top grade.

Meanwhile, silver tracked gold higher, with the most-active September contract adding 39 cents to $18.70 an ounce.

Copper went back to gains. September copper, the most-active contract, added 2 cents, or 0.7%, to $2.95 a pound. Copper futures slid 5.1% on Tuesday after an economic indicator for China was revised down.

Meanwhile, the SPDR Gold Trust /quotes/comstock/13*!gld/quotes/nls/gld (GLD 118.49, +1.45, +1.24%) , the largest exchange-traded fund backed by gold, added 0.4%. The ETF's holdings rose to a fresh record Tuesday, the last day for which statistics are available. The fund reported holding 1,320 metric tons (1,455 short tons) of gold, against 1,316 metric tons earlier in the week.

The fund's assets have surpassed $50 billion, a 32% increase so far this year.

On Tuesday, gold rose modestly as stocks and other commodities fell sharply on fears China's economy may be slowing and as the Conference Board consumer-sentiment index fell to 52.9 in June, its lowest level since March

Claudia Assis is a San Francisco-based reporter for MarketWatch.

Nick Godt is MarketWatch's markets editor, based in New York

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